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BundesligaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund match centre

1899 Hoffenheim badge1899 HoffenheimHome · 5 in league
WDLLD
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Borussia Dortmund badgeBorussia DortmundAway · 2 in league
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Kramaric41′ (pen)
A. Kramaric90+8′ (pen)
S. Guirassy87′
PreZero Arena · SinsheimSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.1%1899 Hoffenheim
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Borussia Dortmund
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: 1899 Hoffenheim 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Borussia Dortmund 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
4Corner Kicks3
14Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
379Total passes434
309Passes accurate357

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund35+3573—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
41899 Hoffenheim35+1464↑ 1
5VfB Stuttgart34+2262↓ 1
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1899 Hoffenheim 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Borussia Dortmund 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1899 Hoffenheim at home with Borussia Dortmund away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
29Matches played29
51Points earned64
15Wins19
2.0Goals scored / match2.1
1.5Goals conceded / match1.0
6Clean sheets13
5Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1899 Hoffenheim at home with Borussia Dortmund away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1899 Hoffenheim

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Christian Ilzer
  1. 1Oliver BaumannG
  2. 34Vladimir CoufalD
  3. 5Ozan KabakD
  4. 21Albian HajdariD
  5. 13BernardoD
  6. 7Leon AvdullahuM
  7. 18Wouter BurgerM
  8. 27Andrej KramarićM
  9. 11Fisnik AsllaniM
  10. 29Bazoumana TouréM
  11. 19Tim LemperleF
Substitutes (9)

37 · Luca Philipp

2 · Robin Hranáč

25 · Kevin Akpoguma

6 · Grischa Promel

22 · Alexander Prass

20 · Cole Campbell

10 · Muhammed Damar

33 · Max Moerstedt

9 · Ihlas Bebou

Borussia Dortmund

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Niko Kovac
  1. 1Gregor KobelG
  2. 25Niklas SuleD
  3. 3Waldemar AntonD
  4. 4Nico SchlotterbeckD
  5. 26Julian RyersonM
  6. 20Marcel SabitzerM
  7. 7Jobe BellinghamM
  8. 24Daniel SvenssonM
  9. 17Carney ChukwuemekaF
  10. 14Maximilian BeierF
  11. 21Fábio SilvaF
Substitutes (9)

5 · Ramy Bensebaini

33 · Alexander Meyer

39 · Filippo Mané

2 · Yan Couto

40 · Samuele Inacio

6 · Salih Özcan

41 · Mathis Albert

10 · Julian Brandt

9 · Serhou Guirassy

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oliver Baumann906.7—0—39—
Vladimir Coufal907.5—01321
Ozan Kabak906.6—02281
Albian Hajdari907.2—0—462
Bernardo727.5—0—213
Leon Avdullahu907.5—0—613
Wouter Burger607.2—0—323
Andrej Kramarić907.9203431
Fisnik Asllani906.2—01201
Bazoumana Touré606.7—0—12—
Tim Lemperle826.5—01142
Grischa Promel306.6—0—17—
Alexander Prass306.2—0—9—
Robin Hranáč186.3—0—5—
Max Moerstedt86.3—0—2—
Luca Philipp———————
Kevin Akpoguma———————
Cole Campbell———————
Muhammed Damar———————
Ihlas Bebou———————

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gregor Kobel907.3—0—36—
Niklas Sule426.7—0—171
Waldemar Anton907.3—01573
Nico Schlotterbeck906.6—0—651
Julian Ryerson907.2—0—311
Marcel Sabitzer716.6—0—26—
Jobe Bellingham906.3—0—431
Daniel Svensson716.9—01172
Carney Chukwuemeka906.2—0—342
Maximilian Beier906.7—02242
Fábio Silva606.2—0—14—
Ramy Bensebaini487.2—1—501
Serhou Guirassy307.71018—
Samuele Inacio196.3—0—81
Julian Brandt196.2—016—
Alexander Meyer———————
Filippo Mané———————
Yan Couto———————
Salih Özcan———————
Mathis Albert———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
Bookmaker1899 HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
Bet3652.404.002.60

Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 21:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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