Borussia Dortmund
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREBorussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Andrich42′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Borussia Dortmund
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate96.1%Bayer Leverkusen
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Borussia Dortmund 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Bayer Leverkusen 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Borussia DortmundBayer Leverkusen
1.260Expected goals · API-Football0.600
1Shots on target4
13Total Shots10
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks5
5Fouls6
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves0
518Total passes513
472Passes accurate461
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 35 | +35 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +22 | 62 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
2/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga2–0Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga3–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–01. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–3AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League1–4RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–2AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga4–0VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–1
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults2 wins · 6 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga6–31. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–3FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–1Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga0–1Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Dortmund at home with Bayer Leverkusen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Borussia DortmundBayer Leverkusen
28Matches played28
64Points earned49
19Wins14
2.2Goals scored / match2.1
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
13Clean sheets7
0Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Dortmund at home with Bayer Leverkusen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 5
R. BensebainiD - 26
J. RyersonM - 20
M. SabitzerM - 7
J. BellinghamM - 10
J. BrandtM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 21
F. SilvaF - 9
S. GuirassyF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
25 · N. Sule
14 · M. Beier
40 · S. Inacio
49 · L. Reggiani
41 · M. Albert
6 · S. Ozcan
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
42 · A. Kabar
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 8
R. AndrichD - 5
L. BadeD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 42
M. CulbreathM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 24
A. GarciaM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 30
I. MazaF - 23
N. TellaF - 35
C. KofaneF
Substitutes (9)
28 · J. Blaswich
14 · P. Schick
21 · Lucas
6 · E. Fernandez
15 · T. Oermann
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
19 · E. Poku
17 · E. Ben Seghir
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Waldemar Anton | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 87 | 4 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 94 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 2 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 94 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| Julian Ryerson | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 34 | — |
| Jobe Bellingham | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 53 | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 1 |
| Daniel Svensson | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Fábio Silva | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 19 | — |
| Maximilian Beier | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 14 | 3 |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 30 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Samuele Inacio | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 11 | 1 |
| Almugera Kabar | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Salih Özcan | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 20 | 1 |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Albert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Reggiani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Süle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Flekken | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Robert Andrich | 94 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 2 |
| Loïc Badé | 94 | 8.3 | — | — | — | 54 | 2 |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 58 | 2 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 17 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 85 | 2 |
| Aleix García | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 3 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Nathan Tella | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| Christian Kofane | 54 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Patrik Schick | 40 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 8 | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 14 | — |
| Ernest Poku | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| Malik Tillman | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janis Blaswich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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