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BundesligaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTRE

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen match centre

VfB Stuttgart badgeVfB StuttgartHome · 4 in league
WLWLW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Werder Bremen badgeWerder BremenAway · 15 in league
WWLWL
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Demirovic61′
J. Stage18′
MHPArena · StuttgartSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.3%VfB Stuttgart
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.2%Werder Bremen
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 4.4% · no further goal 92.3% · Werder Bremen 3.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
14Corner Kicks2
8Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
628Total passes294
555Passes accurate222

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart35+2263—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
14Werder Bremen35-2333↑ 1
151. FC Köln34-1432↓ 1
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

VfB Stuttgart 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Werder Bremen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

VfB Stuttgart

4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Werder Bremen

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Werder Bremen’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with Werder Bremen away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
30Matches played30
56Points earned31
17Wins8
2.1Goals scored / match1.2
1.4Goals conceded / match1.8
11Clean sheets6
3Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with Werder Bremen away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

VfB Stuttgart

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Sebastian Hoeness
  1. 33A. NubelG
  2. 14L. JaquezD
  3. 23D. ZagadouD
  4. 7M. MittelstadtD
  5. 22L. AssignonM
  6. 30C. AndresM
  7. 6A. StillerM
  8. 18J. LewelingM
  9. 8T. TomasF
  10. 11B. El KhannoussF
  11. 26D. UndavF
Substitutes (9)

1 · F. Bredlow

9 · E. Demirovic

16 · A. Karazor

24 · J. Chabot

28 · N. Nartey

3 · R. Hendriks

27 · B. Bouanani

10 · C. Fuhrich

4 · J. Vagnoman

Werder Bremen

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Daniel Thioune
  1. 30M. BackhausG
  2. 5A. PieperD
  3. 4N. StarkD
  4. 31K. CoulibalyD
  5. 3Y. SugawaraM
  6. 18C. PuertasM
  7. 14S. LynenM
  8. 2O. DemanM
  9. 6J. StageF
  10. 20R. SchmidF
  11. 19J. MilosevicF
Substitutes (9)

25 · M. Kolke

39 · M. Wober

24 · P. Covic

44 · V. Boniface

23 · I. Schmidt

7 · S. Mbangula

11 · J. Njinmah

33 · M. Schmetgens

29 · S. Musah

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alexander Nübel906.2—0—36—
Luca Jaquez906.6—011081
Dan-Axel Zagadou456.6—0—42—
Maximilian Mittelstädt906.9—01772
Lorenz Assignon576.9—0—31—
Chema Andrés896.7—0—533
Angelo Stiller908.2—0—933
Jamie Leweling786.3—0—35—
Tiago Tomás576.9—02223
Bilal El Khannouss907.2—13511
Deniz Undav906.5—0228—
Ramon Hendriks457.2—0—44—
Chris Führich337.9—0—25—
Ermedin Demirović337.21023—
Badredine Bouanani126.3—019—
Nikolas Nartey1——0—6—
Fabian Bredlow———————
Jeff Chabot———————
Josha Vagnoman———————
Atakan Karazor———————

Werder Bremen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mio Backhaus907.0—0—37—
Amos Pieper907.2—0—251
Niklas Stark656.9—0—282
Karim Coulibaly906.7—0—29—
Yukinari Sugawara907.0—11182
Cameron Puertas906.2—0—372
Senne Lynen906.6—02283
Olivier Deman906.6—0—275
Jens Stage838.0103321
Romano Schmid897.6—0—363
Jovan Milošević656.6—0191
Maximilian Wöber257.2—0—21
Justin Njinmah256.3—0—4—
Samuel Mbangula126.5—0—1—
Salim Musah1——0———
Markus Kolke———————
Isaac Schmidt———————
Mick Schmetgens———————
Patrice Čović———————
Victor Okoh Boniface———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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