FC St. Pauli
3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREFC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Mets69′
L. Waldschmidt86′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.4%FC St. Pauli
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.2%1. FC Köln
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: FC St. Pauli 4.5% · no further goal 92.3% · 1. FC Köln 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
1.790Expected goals · API-Football1.250
6Shots on target1
12Total Shots10
49%Ball Possession51%
8Corner Kicks5
5Fouls2
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
405Total passes440
325Passes accurate361
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 35 | -14 | 33 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 | FC St. Pauli | 35 | -31 | 27 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
1. FC Köln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
1. FC Köln
2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Köln’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC St. Pauli
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga0–5Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga1–1SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga0–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga2–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga0–4VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · DFB Pokal0–3
1. FC Köln
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga3–1Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga2–2Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga3–3Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga1–2FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga0–21899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga2–2VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with 1. FC Köln away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
29Matches played29
25Points earned30
6Wins7
0.8Goals scored / match1.5
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
5Clean sheets3
12Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with 1. FC Köln away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alexander Blessin
- 22
N. VasiljG - 15
T. AndoD - 5
H. WahlD - 3
K. MetsD - 11
A. PyrkaM - 20
M. RasmussenM - 7
J. IrvineM - 21
L. RitzkaM - 10
D. SinaniF - 28
M. Pereira LageF - 27
A. HountondjiF
Substitutes (9)
1 · B. A. Voll
2 · M. Saliakas
25 · A. Dzwigala
4 · D. Nemeth
19 · M. Kaars
18 · T. Hara
24 · C. Metcalfe
23 · L. Oppie
9 · A. Ceesay
1. FC Köln
Confirmed formation4-4-2Lukas Kwasniok
- 1
M. SchwabeG - 28
S. SebulonsenD - 22
J. Simpson-PuseyD - 39
C. OzkacarD - 17
A. Castro-MontesD - 29
J. ThielmannM - 18
I. JohannessonM - 6
E. MartelM - 16
J. KaminskiM - 9
R. AcheF - 13
S. El MalaF
Substitutes (9)
20 · R. Zieler
7 · L. Waldschmidt
37 · L. Maina
32 · K. Lund
27 · F. Chavez
30 · M. Bulter
5 · T. Krauss
2 · J. Schmied
33 · R. van den Berg
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Tomoya Ando | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 46 | 4 |
| Hauke Wahl | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 61 | — |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | — |
| Arkadiusz Pyrka | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Mathias Rasmussen | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Jackson Irvine | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Danel Sinani | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 87 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
| Andreas Hountondji | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 9 | — |
| Manolis Saliakas | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Martijn Kaars | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ben Voll | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Oppie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Dzwigala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Nemeth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taichi Hara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Schwabe | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 74 | — |
| Cenk Özkaçar | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Jan Thielmann | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 79 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 5 |
| Eric Martel | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 4 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Ragnar Ache | 51 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Said El Mala | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Linton Maina | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Marius Bulter | 39 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Kristoffer Lund | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Felipe Chávez | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Luca Waldschmidt | 11 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Ron-Robert Zieler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Schmied | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rav van den Berg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Krauß | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →