1. FC Köln
1/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTRE1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Waldschmidt78′
P. Schick43′ (pen)
P. Schick52′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%1. FC Köln
Draw4.7%at full time
Current result estimate95.2%Bayer Leverkusen
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: 1. FC Köln 4.9% · no further goal 91.8% · Bayer Leverkusen 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
2.660Expected goals · API-Football1.330
8Shots on target3
22Total Shots8
44%Ball Possession56%
0Corner Kicks5
9Fouls5
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves7
424Total passes531
361Passes accurate458
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +22 | 62 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 35 | -15 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
1. FC Köln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
2/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
1. FC Köln
10 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga1–1Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga3–1Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga2–2Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga3–3Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga1–2FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga0–21899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga2–2VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayern MünchenHome · DFB Pokal0–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga1–0VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga6–31. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–3FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with Bayer Leverkusen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
30Matches played30
31Points earned52
7Wins15
1.5Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.4
3Clean sheets8
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with Bayer Leverkusen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
1. FC Köln
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Lukas Kwasniok
- 1
Marvin SchwabeG - 28
Sebastian SebulonsenD - 22
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD - 39
Cenk ÖzkaçarD - 37
Linton MainaM - 18
Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM - 6
Eric MartelM - 32
Kristoffer LundM - 16
Jakub KamińskiF - 30
Marius BulterF - 13
Said El MalaF
Substitutes (9)
20 · Ron-Robert Zieler
2 · Joel Schmied
33 · Rav van den Berg
29 · Jan Thielmann
27 · Felipe Chávez
5 · Tom Krauß
17 · Alessio Castro-Montes
7 · Luca Waldschmidt
38 · Youssoupha Niang
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 28
Janis BlaswichG - 4
Jarell QuansahD - 8
Robert AndrichD - 12
Edmond TapsobaD - 42
Montrell CulbreathM - 25
Exequiel PalaciosM - 24
Aleix GarcíaM - 20
Alejandro GrimaldoM - 30
Ibrahim MazaF - 23
Nathan TellaF - 14
Patrik SchickF
Substitutes (9)
18 · Jonas Omlin
15 · Tim Oermann
5 · Loïc Badé
10 · Malik Tillman
13 · Arthur
6 · Ezequiel Fernández
17 · Eliesse Ben Seghir
7 · Jonas Hofmann
19 · Ernest Poku
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
1. FC Köln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Schwabe | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 59 | — |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 2 |
| Cenk Özkaçar | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Kristoffer Lund | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Eric Martel | 85 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Linton Maina | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 44 | 1 |
| Marius Bulter | 59 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Said El Mala | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Jan Thielmann | 31 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | 31 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Felipe Chávez | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Luca Waldschmidt | 18 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Youssoupha Niang | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Ron-Robert Zieler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Schmied | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rav van den Berg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Krauß | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich | 90 | 9.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 85 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 5 |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 2 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 72 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 80 | 1 |
| Aleix García | 72 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 78 | 1 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Nathan Tella | 72 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 25 | — |
| Patrik Schick | 90 | 7.9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | — |
| Malik Tillman | 29 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Arthur | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Loïc Badé | 12 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Jonas Omlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ernest Poku | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | 1. FC Köln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.90 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 04:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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