Real Madrid
8/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s results
La LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREReal Madrid vs Getafe match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Satriano39′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Real Madrid
Draw2.9%at full time
Current result estimate97.0%Getafe
Another goal6.8%before full time
Next goal: Real Madrid 3.0% · no further goal 93.2% · Getafe 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Real MadridGetafe
1.570Expected goals · API-Football0.490
7Shots on target2
18Total Shots8
77%Ball Possession23%
10Corner Kicks2
11Fouls17
4Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
670Total passes198
603Passes accurate125
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 39 | +41 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 39 | -5 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Getafe 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Getafe
2/7Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Getafe’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BenficaHome · UEFA Champions League2–1OsasunaAway · La Liga1–2BenficaAway · UEFA Champions League1–0Real SociedadHome · La Liga4–1ValenciaAway · La Liga2–0Rayo VallecanoHome · La Liga2–1BenficaAway · UEFA Champions League2–4VillarrealAway · La Liga2–0MonacoHome · UEFA Champions League6–1LevanteHome · La Liga2–0
Getafe
7 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals2 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Getafe away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Real MadridGetafe
25Matches played25
60Points earned29
19Wins8
2.1Goals scored / match0.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.1
11Clean sheets6
2Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Getafe away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 22
A. RudigerD - 4
D. AlabaD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 14
A. TchouameniM - 45
T. PitarchM - 8
F. ValverdeM - 15
A. GulerM - 7
Vinicius JuniorM - 16
G. GarciaF
Substitutes (12)
13 · A. Lunin
43 · S. Mestre
2 · D. Carvajal
11 · Rodrygo
20 · F. Garcia
21 · B. Diaz
23 · F. Mendy
24 · D. Huijsen
30 · F. Mastantuono
28 · J. Cestero Sancho
37 · M. A. Moran
38 · C. Palacios
Getafe
Confirmed formation5-4-1Jose Bordalas Jimenez
- 13
D. SoriaG - 21
J. IglesiasD - 15
S. BoselliD - 22
D. DuarteD - 24
Z. RomeroD - 16
D. RicoD - 17
Kiko FemeniaM - 5
L. MillaM - 8
M. ArambarriM - 10
M. SatrianoM - 19
L. VazquezF
Substitutes (10)
1 · J. Letacek
3 · A. Abqar
41 · J. Montes
12 · A. Nyom
20 · V. Birmancevic
6 · M. Martin
14 · Javier Munoz
44 · A. Riquelme
23 · A. Liso
18 · Alex Sancris
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 55 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 97 | — |
| David Alaba | 55 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 2 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 87 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 83 | 2 |
| Thiago Pitarch | 55 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Arda Güler | 69 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2 |
| Vinicius Júnior | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Dean Huijsen | 35 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Daniel Carvajal | 35 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Rodrygo | 35 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferland Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Ángel Morán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Palacios | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Getafe
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Soria | 90 | 9.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Juan Iglesias | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 |
| Sebastián Boselli | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 4 |
| Domingos Duarte | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Zaid Romero | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Diego Rico | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Kiko Femenía | 58 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Luis Milla | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Mauro Arambarri | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| Martín Satriano | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Luis Vázquez | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Adrian Liso | 39 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 4 |
| Mario Martín | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Abdelkabir Abqar | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Jiří Letáček | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Montes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan Nyom | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Sancris | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Riquelme | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Veljko Birmančević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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