Estrela
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREEstrela vs Sporting CP match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Braganca59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Estrela
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate95.8%Sporting CP
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Estrela 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Sporting CP 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.EstrelaSporting CP
0.370Expected goals · API-Football0.670
3Shots on target2
9Total Shots10
33%Ball Possession67%
4Corner Kicks10
14Fouls16
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
286Total passes582
223Passes accurate502
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 35 | +66 | 85 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Estrela | 35 | -19 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sporting CP 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sporting CP
7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Sporting CP’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estrela
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–2Casa PiaHome · Primeira Liga4–0Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga1–2GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga2–2AVSAway · Primeira Liga0–0TondelaHome · Primeira Liga0–2GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga1–2Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga1–0AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–1BenficaAway · Primeira Liga0–4
Sporting CP
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League0–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga4–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga4–1Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Bodo/GlimtAway · UEFA Champions League0–3SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2FC PortoHome · Taça de Portugal1–0EstorilHome · Primeira Liga3–0MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga3–0FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with Sporting CP away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstrelaSporting CP
28Matches played27
28Points earned68
6Wins21
1.2Goals scored / match2.7
1.7Goals conceded / match0.7
7Clean sheets13
12Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with Sporting CP away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Estrela
0wins5MEETINGS
Sporting CP
5winsNov 2023 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Estrela first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-3-3Joao Nuno
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 21
M. ScholzeD - 4
S. LekovicD - 14
Bernardo SchappoD - 24
B. LangaD - 39
G. DoueM - 6
K. JanssonM - 8
RobinhoM - 99
A. MarcusF - 9
Rodrigo PinhoF - 10
I. StoicaF
Substitutes (9)
22 · D. Grilo
20 · S. van Hooijdonk
30 · Luan Patrick
28 · T. Moustier
63 · A. Sola
83 · Otavio
17 · J. Encada
11 · Jovane
18 · J. Meireles
Sporting CP
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
- 1
R. SilvaG - 22
I. FresnedaD - 72
E. QuaresmaD - 6
Z. DebastD - 20
M. AraujoD - 42
M. HjulmandM - 23
D. BragancaM - 10
G. CatamoM - 17
TrincaoM - 8
PoteM - 97
L. SuarezF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. Virginia
14 · G. Kochorashvili
15 · S. Faye
26 · O. Diomande
90 · R. Nel
91 · R. Mangas
5 · H. Morita
13 · G. Vagiannidis
7 · G. Quenda
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Max Scholze | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 5 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Bruno Langa | 76 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 4 |
| Eddy Doué | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | 65 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Ianis Stoica | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Jovane Cabral | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Jorge Meireles | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Otavio | 14 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Alex Sola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Patrick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 90 | 1 |
| Zeno Debast | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 92 | — |
| Maximiliano Araújo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Morten Hjulmand | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Daniel Bragança | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 45 | — |
| Geny Catamo | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Francisco Trincão | 89 | 5.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Pedro Gonçalves | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Luis Javier Suárez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Giorgos Vagiannidis | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Hidemasa Morita | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Geovany Quenda | 23 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Ousmane Diomande | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Rafael Nel | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Virgínia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Faye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →