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Liga MXClausura - 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Monterrey vs Puebla match centre

Monterrey badgeMonterreyHome · 13 in league
DDLLD
Momentum↓ Low19/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Puebla badgePueblaAway · 17 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Ocampos42′ (pen)
O. Torres44′
E. Gomez2′
Estadio BBVA · MonterreySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.5%Monterrey
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Puebla
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Monterrey 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Puebla 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MonterreyPuebla
3Corner Kicks3
20Fouls9
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
420Total passes537
364Passes accurate472

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Monterrey18-121↑ 2
12Club Queretaro17-420↓ 1
13FC Juarez17-619↓ 1
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla18-1413—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Monterrey 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Puebla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Monterrey

1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Monterrey’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Puebla

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Puebla’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monterrey at home with Puebla away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

MonterreyPuebla
36Matches played32
52Points earned25
15Wins6
1.7Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match2.0
10Clean sheets6
8Failed to score14

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monterrey at home with Puebla away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Monterrey

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Nicolas Sanchez
  1. 25S. MeleG
  2. 2R. ChavezD
  3. 4V. GuzmanD
  4. 13C. SalcedoD
  5. 21L. ReyesD
  6. 5F. AmbrizM
  7. 8O. TorresM
  8. 11L. OrellanoM
  9. 17J. CoronaM
  10. 29L. OcamposM
  11. 27R. de la RosaF
Substitutes (10)

22 · L. Cardenas

10 · S. Canales

20 · U. Djurdjevic

3 · G. Arteaga

32 · S. Rodriguez

35 · I. Fimbres

194 · C. Reyes

14 · E. Aguirre

19 · A. Aceves

246 · O. Galvez

Puebla

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Martin Bravo
  1. 28D. GutierrezG
  2. 12I. MorenoD
  3. 192E. NavarroD
  4. 4J. VargasD
  5. 6N. DiazD
  6. 16A. RamirezM
  7. 27B. GarnicaM
  8. 18A. GamarraM
  9. 24A. OrganistaM
  10. 11E. GomezM
  11. 25A. CaneloF
Substitutes (10)

33 · J. Rodriguez

32 · A. Araos

22 · C. Baltazar

17 · E. Lozano

21 · O. Gonzalez

20 · J. R. Pachuca Martinez

5 · U. Torres

29 · E. Mustre

8 · M. Ramirez

3 · L. Rey

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Monterrey

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Santiago Mele906.2—0—26—
Ricardo Chávez907.5—12324
Victor Guzmán907.2—0—561
Carlos Salcedo847.2—0249—
Luis Reyes676.7—0128—
Fidel Ambríz906.7—01502
Oliver Torres677.9102461
Luca Orellano847.2—02361
Jesus Corona736.6—02311
Lucas Ocampos907.2103265
Roberto de la Rosa906.2—0222—
Gerardo Arteaga236.6—0—42
Iker Fimbres236.5—0—7—
Sebastian Rodriguez176.6—0—5—
Alonso Aceves156.6—0—31
Cristian Reyes157.0—0—21
Luis Cardenas———————
Erick Aguirre———————
Sergio Canales———————
Omar Galvez———————
Uros Djurdjevic———————

Puebla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ricardo Gutierrez906.6—0—43—
Iker Moreno906.7—01601
Eduardo Navarro747.2—0—341
Juan Pablo Vargas907.5—01771
Nicolás Díaz906.9—0—662
Alonso Ramirez746.2—0—33—
Bryan Garnica906.5—1—242
Ariel Gamarra906.9—0—452
Alejandro Organista906.3—0—654
Emiliano Gómez907.9103391
Alexis Canelo316.3—0—16—
Esteban Lozano595.9—029—
Ulises Torres166.6—0—17—
Carlos Baltazar166.9—0—15—
Jesús Rodríguez———————
Jose Pachuca———————
Miguel Ramírez———————
Ángelo Araos———————
Luis Gabriel Rey———————
Owen González———————
Eduardo Mustre———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMonterreyDrawPuebla
Bet3651.554.505.50

Snapshot from 21 Apr 2026, 21:03 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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