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Arsenal vs Sporting CP match centre

Arsenal badgeArsenalHome · 1 in league
WWLLW
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Sporting CP badgeSporting CPAway · 7 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Emirates Stadium · LondonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.1%Arsenal
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%Sporting CP
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Arsenal 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · Sporting CP 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
ArsenalSporting CP
7Corner Kicks3
6Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
442Total passes429
384Passes accurate375

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

UEFA Champions League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Arsenal9+1925—
2Bayern München8+1421—
3Liverpool8+1218—
4Tottenham8+1017—
5Sporting CP9+617↑ 2
6Barcelona8+816↓ 1
7Chelsea8+716↓ 1
8Manchester City8+616—
9Real Madrid8+915—
10Inter8+815—
11Paris Saint Germain8+1014—
12Newcastle8+1014—
13Juventus8+413—
14Atletico Madrid8+213—
15Atalanta8013—
16Bayer Leverkusen8-112—
17Borussia Dortmund8+211—
18Olympiakos Piraeus8-411—
19Club Brugge KV8-210—
20Galatasaray8-210—
21Monaco8-610—
22Qarabag8-810—
23Bodo/Glimt8-19—
24Benfica8-29—
25Marseille8-39—
26Pafos8-39—
27Union St. Gilloise8-99—
28PSV Eindhoven808—
29Athletic Club8-58—
30Napoli8-68—
31FC Copenhagen8-98—
32Ajax8-136—
33Eintracht Frankfurt8-114—
34Slavia Praha8-143—
35Villarreal8-131—
36Kairat Almaty8-151—
Quarter-finalsArsenal 0–0 Sporting CP
Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Arsenal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sporting CP 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Arsenal

6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Arsenal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sporting CP

7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Sporting CP’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arsenal at home with Sporting CP away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:42 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches

ArsenalSporting CP
11Matches played11
31Points earned19
10Wins6
2.5Goals scored / match2.0
0.4Goals conceded / match1.4
7Clean sheets2
0Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arsenal at home with Sporting CP away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Arsenal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mikel Arteta
  1. 1D. RayaG
  2. 3C. MosqueraD
  3. 2W. SalibaD
  4. 6GabrielD
  5. 5P. HincapieD
  6. 36M. ZubimendiM
  7. 41D. RiceM
  8. 20N. MaduekeM
  9. 10E. EzeM
  10. 11G. MartinelliM
  11. 14V. GyökeresF
Substitutes (11)

13 · K. Arrizabalaga

35 · T. Setford

9 · Gabriel Jesus

4 · B. White

29 · K. Havertz

49 · M. Lewis-Skelly

56 · M. Dowman

89 · M. Salmon

16 · C. Norgaard

19 · L. Trossard

39 · H. Dudziak

Sporting CP

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
  1. 1R. SilvaG
  2. 72E. QuaresmaD
  3. 26O. DiomandeD
  4. 25G. InacioD
  5. 20M. AraujoD
  6. 42M. HjulmandM
  7. 5H. MoritaM
  8. 10G. CatamoM
  9. 17TrincaoM
  10. 8PoteM
  11. 97L. SuarezF
Substitutes (12)

12 · J. Virginia

14 · G. Kochorashvili

23 · D. Braganca

15 · S. Faye

90 · R. Nel

52 · J. Simoes

58 · F. Goncalves

91 · R. Mangas

13 · G. Vagiannidis

6 · Z. Debast

7 · G. Quenda

70 · S. Blopa

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Arsenal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
David Raya957.2———22—
Cristhian Mosquera956.6———38—
William Saliba957.0———554
Gabriel Magalhães957.3———532
Piero Hincapié957.2———286
Martín Zubimendi957.6——1544
Declan Rice957.2———62—
Noni Madueke636.9——1252
Eberechi Eze797.0——3352
Gabriel Martinelli796.2——116—
Viktor Gyökeres566.7——191
Kai Havertz396.6———16—
Max Dowman326.7———111
Gabriel Jesus166.3——171
Leandro Trossard166.3——112—
Kepa Arrizabalaga———————
Tommy Setford———————
Ben White———————
Myles Lewis-Skelly———————
Marli Salmon———————
Christian Norgaard———————
Harrison Dudziak———————

Sporting CP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rui Silva957.0———14—
Eduardo Quaresma857.5———375
Ousmane Diomande956.9———501
Gonçalo Inácio957.3———69—
Maximiliano Araújo956.6——2375
Morten Hjulmand957.2———634
Hidemasa Morita776.7——1532
Geny Catamo716.2——1211
Francisco Trincão856.9——1332
Pedro Gonçalves716.3——1261
Luis Javier Suárez956.9———18—
Geovany Quenda246.3———8—
Daniel Bragança246.3———71
João Simões186.9——182
Giorgos Vagiannidis106.9———21
Rafael Nel106.2—————
João Virgínia———————
Zeno Debast———————
Ricardo Mangas———————
Giorgi Kochorashvili———————
Souleymane Faye———————
Salvador Blopa———————
Flavio Goncalves———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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