Toluca
4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
CONCACAF Champions LeagueFinalTHE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Tigres UANL match centre
′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Diaz104′
Joaquim114′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for a stable live match state
TolucaTigres UANL
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target8
13Total Shots15
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks7
24Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total passes509
329Passes accurate420
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
FinalToluca 1–1 Tigres UANL
→Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tigres UANL 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tigres UANL
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Tigres UANL’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CF PachucaAway · Liga MX0–2Los Angeles FCHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0Los Angeles FCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–2LeonHome · Liga MX4–1MazatlánAway · Liga MX3–4Club AmericaAway · Liga MX1–2Los Angeles GalaxyAway · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Atletico San LuisHome · Liga MX1–1Los Angeles GalaxyHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–2Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX0–1
Tigres UANL
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Guadalajara ChivasAway · Liga MX0–2Nashville SCAway · CONCACAF Champions League0–1Nashville SCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–0MazatlánHome · Liga MX5–1AtlasAway · Liga MX0–0NecaxaAway · Liga MX1–1Seattle SoundersAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–3Guadalajara ChivasHome · Liga MX4–1Seattle SoundersHome · CONCACAF Champions League2–0Club TijuanaAway · Liga MX0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Tigres UANL away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 4 Oct, 19:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaTigres UANL
6Matches played8
12Points earned16
4Wins5
3.0Goals scored / match1.8
1.2Goals conceded / match1.0
3Clean sheets4
0Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Tigres UANL away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Toluca
2wins5MEETINGS
Tigres UANL
2winsMay 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Toluca first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
Luis GarcíaG - 19
Santiago SimónD - 4
Bruno MéndezD - 6
Federico PereiraD - 25
Everardo LópezD - 5
Franco RomeroM - 11
HelinhoM - 10
Jesús Ricardo AnguloM - 14
Marcel RuízM - 8
Nicolás CastroM - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (12)
24 · Fernando Arce Juárez
15 · Pavel Pérez
2 · Diego Barbosa
29 · Jorge Díaz
17 · Mauricio Isais
7 · Sebastián Córdova
1 · Hugo Gonzalez
13 · Luan
3 · Antonio Briseño
16 · Erick Orta
33 · Victor Arteaga
35 · Alek Álvarez
Tigres UANL
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guido Pizarro
- 1
Nahuel GuzmánG - 32
Vladimir LoroñaD - 23
Rômulo ZwargD - 28
JoaquimD - 14
Jesus GarzaD - 5
César AraújoM - 8
Fernando GorriaránM - 16
Diego LainezM - 7
Ángel CorreaM - 77
Ozziel HerreraM - 17
Rodrigo AguirreF
Substitutes (12)
20 · Marcelo Flores
3 · Marco Farfan
11 · Juan Brunetta
30 · Diego Sánchez
10 · André-Pierre Gignac
4 · Juan José Purata
13 · Antonio Carrera
25 · Carlos Rodríguez
2 · Francisco Reyes
27 · Jesús Angulo
22 · Henrique Simeone Koifman
6 · Juan Vigón
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 120 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Bruno Méndez | 120 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Federico Pereira | 120 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Everardo López | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 120 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Helinho | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Marcel Ruíz | 52 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 4 |
| Nicolás Castro | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Paulinho | 101 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | 68 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Pavel Pérez | 50 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Diego Barbosa | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Jorge Díaz | 31 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Mauricio Isais | 30 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | 19 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Orta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alek Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tigres UANL
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Guzmán | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 60 | — |
| Vladimir Loroña | 68 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Rômulo Zwarg | 120 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| Joaquim | 120 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 59 | — |
| Jesus Garza | 109 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | 10 |
| César Araújo | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 4 |
| Fernando Gorriarán | 120 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 2 |
| Diego Lainez | 120 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Ángel Correa | 120 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
| Ozziel Herrera | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Rodrigo Aguirre | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Marcelo Flores | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Marco Farfan | 52 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Juan Brunetta | 52 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Diego Sánchez | 42 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| André-Pierre Gignac | 42 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Juan José Purata | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 2 |
| Antonio Carrera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Reyes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Angulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrique Simeone Koifman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Vigón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Champions League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Toluca | Draw | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Snapshot from 29 May 2026, 12:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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