USA
6/9Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect USA’s results
World CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREUSA vs Belgium match centre
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Tillman31′
C. De Ketelaere9′
C. De Ketelaere33′
H. Vanaken57′
R. Lukaku90+3′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
USABelgium
0.670Expected goals · API-Football2.150
2Shots on target6
7Total Shots14
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks5
10Fouls9
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
502Total passes397
438Passes accurate322
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
USA 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Belgium 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Belgium
5/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Belgium’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
USA
9 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Belgium
10 matchesResults5 wins · 5 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SenegalHome · World Cup2–2New ZealandAway · World Cup5–1IranHome · World Cup0–0EgyptHome · World Cup1–1TunisiaHome · Friendlies5–0CroatiaAway · Friendlies2–0MexicoAway · Friendlies1–1USAAway · Friendlies5–2LiechtensteinHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe7–0KazakhstanAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Belgium away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
USABelgium
4Matches played4
9Points earned8
3Wins2
2.5Goals scored / match2.2
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Belgium away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
USA
0wins3MEETINGS
Belgium
3winsJul 2014 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with USA first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
USA
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mauricio Pochettino
- 24
Matthew FreeseG - 16
Alexander FreemanD - 3
Chris RichardsD - 13
Tim ReamD - 5
Antonee RobinsonD - 8
Weston McKennieM - 4
Tyler AdamsM - 17
Malik TillmanM - 2
Sergiño DestF - 20
Folarin BalogunF - 10
Christian PulišićF
Substitutes (14)
7 · Giovanni Reyna
14 · Sebastian Berhalter
9 · Ricardo Pepi
18 · Maximilian Arfsten
19 · Haji Wright
1 · Matt Turner
25 · Chris Brady
12 · Miles Robinson
22 · Mark McKenzie
6 · Auston Trusty
23 · Joe Scally
26 · Alex Zendejas
21 · Timothy Weah
11 · Brenden Aaronson
Belgium
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rudi Garcia
- 1
Thibaut CourtoisG - 21
Timothy CastagneD - 25
Nathan NgoyD - 4
Brandon MecheleD - 5
Maxim De CuyperD - 24
Amadou OnanaM - 23
Nicolas RaskinM - 14
Dodi LukebakioM - 8
Youri TielemansM - 10
Leandro TrossardM - 17
Charles De KetelaereF
Substitutes (15)
20 · Hans Vanaken
11 · Jérémy Doku
9 · Romelu Lukaku
22 · Alexis Saelemaekers
6 · Axel Witsel
13 · Mike Penders
12 · Senne Lammens
18 · Joaquin Seys
3 · Arthur Theate
16 · Koni De Winter
2 · Zeno Debast
15 · Thomas Meunier
19 · Diego Moreira
7 · Kevin De Bruyne
26 · Matías Fernández-Pardo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
USA
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Alexander Freeman | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 56 | 6 |
| Chris Richards | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Tim Ream | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 86 | — |
| Antonee Robinson | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 7 |
| Weston McKennie | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Tyler Adams | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Malik Tillman | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Sergiño Dest | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Folarin Balogun | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 10 | — |
| Christian Pulišić | 59 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Maximilian Arfsten | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Haji Wright | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Matt Turner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Brady | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miles Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark McKenzie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Auston Trusty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Scally | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Zendejas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Weah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belgium
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Timothy Castagne | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Brandon Mechele | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Amadou Onana | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Nicolas Raskin | 89 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| Dodi Lukebakio | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Youri Tielemans | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 3 |
| Leandro Trossard | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 67 | 8.3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 |
| Hans Vanaken | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 2 |
| Jérémy Doku | 23 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | 23 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Axel Witsel | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Mike Penders | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Senne Lammens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Seys | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Theate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeno Debast | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Meunier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup table
Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Australia
Paraguay
TürkiyeTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | USA | Draw | Belgium |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
Snapshot from 6 Jul 2026, 20:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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