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Ligue 1Matchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg match centre

Stade Brestois 29 badgeStade Brestois 29Home · 12 in league
WLLLD
Momentum↓ Low23/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Strasbourg badgeStrasbourgAway · 8 in league
WLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Ajorque13′
V. Barco9′
S. Nanasi20′
Stade Francis-Le Blé · BrestSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Stade Brestois 29
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate95.5%Strasbourg
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Stade Brestois 29 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Strasbourg 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
5Corner Kicks4
9Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
454Total passes509
379Passes accurate432

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Strasbourg35+1256↑ 1
8Monaco34+654↓ 1
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2935-1339—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Stade Brestois 29 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Strasbourg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Strasbourg

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Strasbourg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stade Brestois 29 at home with Strasbourg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
31Matches played31
38Points earned46
10Wins13
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.6Goals conceded / match1.3
9Clean sheets9
10Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stade Brestois 29 at home with Strasbourg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Stade Brestois 29

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eric Roy
  1. 30G. CoudertG
  2. 77K. LalaD
  3. 71R. Le GuenD
  4. 4J. M. DiazD
  5. 27D. GuindoD
  6. 13J. ChotardM
  7. 8H. MagnettiM
  8. 10R. Del CastilloM
  9. 23K. DoumbiaM
  10. 7J. Dina EbimbeM
  11. 19L. AjorqueF
Substitutes (9)

50 · N. Jauny

17 · M. Balde

33 · H. Makalou

24 · L. Tousart

14 · R. Labeau Lascary

99 · P. Mboup

12 · L. Zogbe

29 · S. Diop

39 · A. Lassus

Strasbourg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gary O'Neil
  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 22G. DoueD
  3. 2A. OmobamideleD
  4. 24L. HogsbergD
  5. 42A. OuattaraD
  6. 32V. BarcoM
  7. 29S. El MourabetM
  8. 7D. MoreiraM
  9. 11S. NanasiM
  10. 20M. GodoM
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · K. Johnsson

8 · M. Oyedele

17 · M. Amougou

34 · Y. Dieme

80 · G. Yassine

3 · B. Chilwell

27 · S. Amo-Ameyaw

83 · R. Luis

28 · T. Noubissie

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Stade Brestois 29

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Grégoire Coudert957.2———43—
Kenny Lala956.6—1—51—
Raphaël Le Guen956.9———543
Michel Diaz957.0——2483
Daouda Guindo956.2——1472
Joris Chotard836.9———461
Hugo Magnetti847.9——1473
Romain Del Castillo787.2——137—
Kamory Doumbia775.9——2243
Eric Ebimbe646.7——1194
Ludovic Ajorque957.91—5202
Remy Labeau Lascary316.9———8—
Hamidou Makalou186.9———71
Pathé Mboup177.2———5—
Lucas Tousart126.7———6—
Mama Baldé116.3———4—
Noah Jauny———————
Luc Zogbé———————
Axel Lassus———————
Serigne Diop———————

Strasbourg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Penders957.9———55—
Guéla Doué956.7———391
Andrew Omobamidele956.3———67—
Lucas Høgsberg957.3———471
Abdoul Ouattara956.9——1551
Valentín Barco926.91—3652
Samir El Mourabet957.2———504
Diego Moreira727.0——1432
Sebastian Nanasi957.7111391
Martial Godo826.3———23—
Julio Enciso957.2—1130—
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw236.5———71
Yaya Diémé136.5———2—
Tyrese Noubissie3————3—
Karl-Johan Johnsson———————
Ben Chilwell———————
Mathis Amougou———————
Maxi Oyedele———————
Gessime Yassine———————
Rafael Luis———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerStade Brestois 29DrawStrasbourg
Bet3652.623.602.50

Snapshot from 12 May 2026, 20:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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