Werder Bremen
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Werder Bremen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREWerder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Guirassy59′
Y. Couto90+5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Werder Bremen
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Borussia Dortmund
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Werder Bremen 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Borussia Dortmund 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
0.420Expected goals · API-Football2.860
3Shots on target8
9Total Shots16
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks5
8Fouls4
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves3
491Total passes474
418Passes accurate404
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 35 | +38 | 76 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 35 | -25 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Werder Bremen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Borussia Dortmund
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Werder Bremen
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga0–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–3VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–1Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga3–11. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga1–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga0–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga4–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga2–0
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–2Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–1SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga4–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–2Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga0–1VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga2–0Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga3–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–01. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Werder Bremen at home with Borussia Dortmund away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
32Matches played32
32Points earned67
8Wins20
1.2Goals scored / match2.1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.0
6Clean sheets14
11Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Werder Bremen at home with Borussia Dortmund away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Werder Bremen
0wins5MEETINGS
Borussia Dortmund
3winsOct 2023 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Werder Bremen first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Werder Bremen
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Daniel Thioune
- 30
M. BackhausG - 23
I. SchmidtD - 5
A. PieperD - 31
K. CoulibalyD - 2
O. DemanD - 14
S. LynenM - 11
J. NjinmahM - 6
J. StageM - 18
C. PuertasM - 20
R. SchmidM - 29
S. MusahF
Substitutes (9)
25 · M. Kolke
10 · L. Bittencourt
4 · N. Stark
24 · P. Covic
17 · M. Grull
32 · M. Friedl
27 · F. Agu
7 · S. Mbangula
19 · J. Milosevic
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 49
L. ReggianiD - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 26
J. RyersonM - 8
F. NmechaM - 7
J. BellinghamM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 14
M. BeierF - 40
S. InacioF - 9
S. GuirassyF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
20 · M. Sabitzer
25 · N. Sule
21 · F. Silva
10 · J. Brandt
6 · S. Ozcan
27 · K. Adeyemi
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
2 · Y. Couto
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Werder Bremen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Isaac Schmidt | 53 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Amos Pieper | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Karim Coulibaly | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 1 |
| Olivier Deman | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| Senne Lynen | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Justin Njinmah | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Jens Stage | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 3 |
| Cameron Puertas | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Romano Schmid | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Salim Musah | 70 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Marco Friedl | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Marco Grüll | 37 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Patrice Čović | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Markus Kolke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Stark | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Agu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jovan Milošević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Luca Reggiani | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 1 |
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 85 | 1 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 3 |
| Julian Ryerson | 88 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 26 | — |
| Felix Nmecha | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Jobe Bellingham | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Daniel Svensson | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Maximilian Beier | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Samuele Inacio | 69 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | 83 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Julian Brandt | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Fábio Silva | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Karim Adeyemi | 13 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Yan Couto | 8 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Süle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcel Sabitzer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 04:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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