Rio Ave
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRERio Ave vs Sporting CP match centre
90′ · Live
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Diogo Bezerra12′
L. Suarez35′ (pen)
Gustavo Mancha42′ (og)
Trincao66′
G. Quenda90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Rio Ave
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Sporting CP
Another goal7.3%before full time
Next goal: Rio Ave 1.4% · no further goal 92.7% · Sporting CP 5.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Rio AveSporting CP
0.700Expected goals · API-Football1.580
3Shots on target3
12Total Shots14
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks6
9Fouls7
5Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
282Total passes502
234Passes accurate457
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 35 | +68 | 85 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 35 | -25 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sporting CP 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sporting CP
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Sporting CP’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rio Ave
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga0–0GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga0–2AVSHome · Primeira Liga2–2Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–0AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga1–2EstorilAway · Primeira Liga2–1EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–1TondelaAway · Primeira Liga1–0FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga0–0FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting CP
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga5–1AVSAway · Primeira Liga1–1FC PortoAway · Taça de Portugal0–0BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–0EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga1–0ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League0–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga4–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga4–1Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rio Ave at home with Sporting CP away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Rio AveSporting CP
31Matches played31
34Points earned73
8Wins22
1.1Goals scored / match2.5
1.7Goals conceded / match0.8
5Clean sheets14
12Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rio Ave at home with Sporting CP away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
- 1
C. MisztaG - 17
M. VrousaiD - 23
F. PetrassoD - 39
Gustavo ManchaD - 6
N. AbbeyD - 44
T. NikitscherM - 8
Ryan GuilhermeM - 7
Diogo Bezerra - 11
J. BlesaM - 18
D. SpikicM - 9
T. MonteiroF
Substitutes (9)
99 · E. van der Gouw
32 · J. Brabec
77 · O. Richards
54 · G. Liavas
80 · O. Pohlmann
20 · J. Tome
5 · A. Ntoi
63 · J. Lomboto
19 · A. Papakanellos
Sporting CP
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
- 1
R. SilvaG - 72
E. QuaresmaD - 26
O. DiomandeD - 25
G. InacioD - 20
M. AraujoD - 23
D. BragancaM - 5
H. MoritaM - 31
Luis GuilhermeM - 17
TrincaoM - 8
PoteM - 97
L. SuarezF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. Virginia
14 · G. Kochorashvili
10 · G. Catamo
15 · S. Faye
90 · R. Nel
73 · E. Felicissimo
91 · R. Mangas
7 · G. Quenda
70 · S. Blopa
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cezary Miszta | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Francisco Petrasso | 52 | 4.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Nelson Abbey | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Tamás Nikitscher | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Ryan Guilherme | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Diogo Bezerra | 73 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Jalen Blesa | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Dario Špikić | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Tamblé Monteiro | 55 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| Jakub Brabec | 35 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| João Tomé | 26 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| Omar Richards | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Andreas Ndoj | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Lomboto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Liavas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Quaresma | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Ousmane Diomande | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 63 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 80 | — |
| Maximiliano Araújo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 44 | — |
| Daniel Bragança | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 3 |
| Hidemasa Morita | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Luís Guilherme | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Francisco Trincão | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 1 |
| Pedro Gonçalves | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 45 | 2 |
| Luis Javier Suárez | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | — |
| Geny Catamo | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Geovany Quenda | 25 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Rafael Nel | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| João Virgínia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvador Blopa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Faye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.27 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:42 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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