VfB Stuttgart
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREVfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Demirovic5′
M. Mittelstadt45+7′ (pen)
D. Undav58′
A. Garcia1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%VfB Stuttgart
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Bayer Leverkusen
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Bayer Leverkusen 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VfB StuttgartBayer Leverkusen
2.780Expected goals · API-Football0.560
9Shots on target5
20Total Shots6
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks6
12Fouls7
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
366Total passes381
311Passes accurate308
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 35 | +24 | 65 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfB Stuttgart 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfB Stuttgart
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–1SC FreiburgHome · DFB Pokal1–1Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga2–4Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga4–0Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga0–2FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga5–2FC PortoAway · UEFA Europa League0–2RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–0FC PortoHome · UEFA Europa League1–2
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga4–11. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · DFB Pokal0–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga1–0VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga6–31. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with Bayer Leverkusen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VfB StuttgartBayer Leverkusen
31Matches played31
57Points earned55
17Wins16
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
11Clean sheets8
3Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with Bayer Leverkusen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Sebastian Hoeness
- 33
A. NubelG - 3
R. HendriksD - 24
J. ChabotD - 7
M. MittelstadtD - 18
J. LewelingM - 30
C. AndresM - 6
A. StillerM - 10
C. FuhrichM - 28
N. NarteyF - 9
E. DemirovicF - 26
D. UndavF
Substitutes (9)
1 · F. Bredlow
23 · D. Zagadou
27 · B. Bouanani
15 · P. Stenzel
4 · J. Vagnoman
8 · T. Tomas
22 · L. Assignon
14 · L. Jaquez
11 · B. El Khannouss
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 42
M. CulbreathM - 24
A. GarciaM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 14
P. SchickF - 30
I. MazaF - 35
C. KofaneF
Substitutes (9)
28 · J. Blaswich
21 · Lucas
6 · E. Fernandez
5 · L. Bade
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
19 · E. Poku
17 · E. Ben Seghir
13 · Arthur
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Ramon Hendriks | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Jeff Chabot | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 1 |
| Jamie Leweling | 87 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | 30 | — |
| Chema Andrés | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Angelo Stiller | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 4 |
| Chris Führich | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | 78 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirović | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 |
| Deniz Undav | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | — |
| Tiago Tomás | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Luca Jaquez | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Lorenz Assignon | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Josha Vagnoman | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Stenzel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Zagadou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Badredine Bouanani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Flekken | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 86 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Aleix García | 65 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 3 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| Patrik Schick | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| Christian Kofane | 78 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Arthur | 25 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Malik Tillman | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Ernest Poku | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Janis Blaswich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Badé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | VfB Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 4.00 | 2.90 |
Snapshot from 8 May 2026, 21:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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